Plot beliefs on a frequency-confidence map. The X axis is frequency (how often true), Y axis is confidence (how much evidence). Each zone tells you what the belief is worth.
Belief Registry
No beliefs plotted. Click "Add Random Belief" to start.
Instructions: The map has four zones. Top-right (high f, high c): Safe beliefs - high expected value, worth acting on. Top-left (low f, high c): Confirmed false beliefs - reliably wrong. Bottom-right (high f, low c): Speculative - probably right but under-evidenced. Bottom-left (low f, low c): Ignorance - no useful information. Click on the map to place a belief. Use "Gather Evidence" to raise confidence. Use "Time Passes" to let confidence decay.